Nancy Tengler's Tesla Secret: Buy During Chaos for Huge Gains!

Deep Dive Interviews
5 Mar 202421:26

TLDRNancy, CEO and CIO of Tangler Investments, expresses bullish sentiment on Tesla, particularly after touring the Mega Pack Factory. She sees Tesla's energy business growing to be worth $120 billion and surpassing its car business. Despite distractions like Elon Musk's OpenAI lawsuit, she believes Tesla's focus on stabilizing pricing and expanding in China is more significant. Jeff L, a former Fortune 100 executive, agrees that Tesla's energy division is promising and could become more profitable than its automotive division. They both emphasize the importance of separating Tesla's fundamentals from market distractions and headlines.

Takeaways

  • 🚗 Nancy, CEO of Tangler Investments, is bullish on Tesla and plans to continue buying despite market distractions.
  • 🔋 After touring Tesla's Megapack Factory, Nancy is confident in Tesla's energy division, predicting it will be worth $120 billion and surpass the car business in size.
  • 📉 Nancy believes Tesla's stock purchases by institutional investors are strategic, often buying low due to distractions rather than fundamental business concerns.
  • 🤖 The lawsuit involving Elon Musk and OpenAI is seen as a distraction, but Elon's history with the company suggests he's not deeply involved in the legal process.
  • 💰 Tesla's price incentives in China are considered more important than distractions, as they aim to stabilize pricing and increase demand.
  • 🏭 The Megapack Factory visit by institutional investors has led to increased bullishness on Tesla, with expectations of significant growth in the energy storage business.
  • 🔌 Tesla's energy storage business is growing rapidly and is expected to become more profitable than the car business, with a 30% cost advantage due to vertical integration.
  • 🌐 Tesla's approach to pricing and incentives is strategic, aiming to make EVs more competitive and transparent compared to traditional automakers.
  • 📊 Analysts and investors are encouraged to separate Tesla's headline distractions from the company's actual business fundamentals and future growth potential.
  • 💬 Improved communication from Tesla, particularly regarding Elon Musk's compensation package and the company's strategic direction, is seen as crucial for investor confidence.

Q & A

  • What is Nancy Tang's position on Tesla's stock and why is she bullish?

    -Nancy Tang, CEO and chief investment officer of Tangler Investments, is bullish on Tesla. She plans to continue buying the stock on weakness, especially after touring Tesla's Mega Pack Factory, which has given her confidence in Tesla's energy division's potential to be worth $120 billion and eventually become one and a half times larger than the car business.

  • What is the significance of Tesla's Mega Pack Factory?

    -The Mega Pack Factory produces utility-grade battery storage, which is expected to significantly change the way electric utilities operate by reducing outages and potentially mitigating forest fires. Tesla's battery storage is considered a fast-growing and highly profitable business segment.

  • How does the lawsuit involving Elon Musk and OpenAI affect Tesla?

    -The lawsuit is seen as a distraction, but Elon Musk's history and involvement with OpenAI suggest that he has a significant stake in the matter. However, the lawsuit is being handled by lawyers, and Musk's involvement is limited, suggesting it won't take much of his time or distract him from Tesla's operations.

  • What is Tesla's strategy with price incentives in China?

    -Tesla is trying to stabilize pricing in the market by adjusting incentives and lowering prices to increase demand. This strategy is aimed at making electric vehicles (EVs) more competitive and avoiding a price war, which Tesla wants to avoid.

  • What is the current state of Tesla's energy business?

    -Tesla's energy business, particularly battery storage, is growing rapidly and is expected to become the company's most profitable business segment. It is estimated to be worth one and a half times the car business in the future, with Tesla having a 15% market share and a 30% cost advantage due to vertical integration.

  • How does Tesla's Mega Pack energy story fit into the overall investment thesis?

    -The Mega Pack energy story is seen as underappreciated by the investment community. It represents a significant growth opportunity for Tesla, especially as it relates to the company's efforts in renewable energy and the reduction of fossil fuel reliance.

  • What are the concerns about Tesla's position in the Chinese market?

    -There are concerns about the hypercompetitive nature of the Chinese market, potential price wars, and slowing EV demand. However, Tesla's strategy and technological advancements are seen as key factors that could help the company navigate these challenges.

  • What does Jeff L think Tesla needs to improve in terms of investor relations?

    -Jeff L suggests that Tesla needs to improve its communication strategy, particularly regarding Elon Musk's compensation package and the company's future plans. He believes that clearer communication about Tesla's priorities and progress in areas like autonomy, energy, and new vehicle deployment would be beneficial.

  • What is the outcome of the lawsuit against Elon Musk's compensation package?

    -The lawsuit resulted in a ruling that could potentially require Tesla to pay a significant amount, which Jeff L considers unreasonable. The legal team that won the lawsuit is asking for $5.95 billion, which Jeff L believes would be an outrageous outcome if approved, as it would harm shareholders.

  • How does the discussion on Tesla's stock performance relate to broader market trends?

    -The discussion highlights that Tesla's stock performance is influenced by various factors, including market distractions, competitive market dynamics, and investor perceptions. Despite these challenges, there is a focus on the long-term potential of Tesla's business segments, particularly energy and autonomous driving technology.

Outlines

00:00

🚀 Nancy Tangler's Bullish Outlook on Tesla

Nancy Tangler, CEO and chief investment officer of Tangler Investments, expresses her bullish stance on Tesla, particularly after touring Tesla's mega pack factory. She believes Tesla's energy division could be worth $120 billion and surpass its car business in size. The conversation also touches on distractions such as Elon Musk's OpenAI lawsuit and Tesla's strategic approach to pricing in China to stimulate demand.

05:02

🔋 The Mega Pack Factory and Tesla's Energy Business

The discussion delves into the potential of Tesla's energy business, with a focus on the mega pack factory's role in utility-grade battery storage. The factory's output could significantly impact electric utilities and reduce power outages and forest fires. Tesla's energy division is highlighted as the fastest-growing and most profitable part of the company, with estimates suggesting it could be worth 1.5 times the car business in the future.

10:03

📉 Tesla's Market Position and Investor Sentiment

The conversation addresses concerns about Tesla's market position, particularly in China, where competition and potential price wars are discussed. The panelists emphasize the importance of separating Tesla's headline-grabbing distractions from the fundamentals of its business, including its advancements in electric vehicles (EVs) and energy storage. They also discuss the impact of Tesla's communication strategy on investor confidence.

15:05

💰 Elon Musk's Compensation and Tesla's Future

The panelists discuss the ongoing legal appeal regarding Elon Musk's compensation package and its implications for Tesla's future. They suggest that resolving this issue and improving Tesla's communication strategy are crucial for investor confidence. The conversation also touches on the potential for Tesla's energy business to revolutionize the manufacturing process and the company's plans for new vehicle deployments.

20:07

🌐 Tesla's Global Expansion and Investor Resources

The final paragraph wraps up the discussion with a mention of Tesla's global expansion plans, including the Shanghai gigafactory. The host promotes their website as a comprehensive resource for Tesla investors, inviting viewers to visit for more information.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Bullish

In the context of the video, 'bullish' refers to a positive outlook or confidence in the future performance of a particular investment, in this case, Tesla's stock. It implies that the investor believes the value of Tesla will increase over time. The term is used to describe Nancy's attitude towards Tesla's potential growth, especially in the energy sector.

💡Mega Pack Factory

The 'Mega Pack Factory' is a facility where Tesla manufactures its large-scale battery storage systems, known as Megapacks. These systems are designed for utility-grade energy storage and are a key component of Tesla's energy business. The factory visit by Nancy Tangler is highlighted as a turning point in her investment strategy, as it gave her confidence in Tesla's energy division's potential.

💡Distraction

In the investment world, a 'distraction' refers to events or news that may temporarily affect the market's perception of a company, but do not necessarily reflect the company's underlying fundamentals or long-term prospects. In the video, distractions such as Elon Musk's involvement with OpenAI and lawsuits are mentioned as factors that could potentially sway investor sentiment away from Tesla's core business strengths.

💡Energy Business

Tesla's 'Energy Business' encompasses its ventures in renewable energy products and services, including solar panels, solar roofs, and energy storage systems like the Megapacks. This segment is expected to grow significantly and is seen as a major driver for Tesla's future valuation. The video emphasizes the importance of this business in Tesla's overall strategy.

💡Price Incentives

In the automotive industry, 'Price Incentives' are discounts, rebates, or other financial incentives offered by manufacturers to encourage sales. Tesla's strategy of adjusting these incentives in China is mentioned as a way to stabilize pricing and increase demand, which is a key factor in Tesla's market approach.

💡Vertical Integration

Vertical integration refers to a company's strategy of managing or controlling several stages of its production and supply chain. Tesla's use of vertical integration is highlighted as a cost advantage, allowing the company to reduce costs and improve efficiency in both its automotive and energy divisions.

💡Stationary Storage

Referring to Tesla's energy storage systems that are not mobile, 'Stationary Storage' includes large battery systems designed for utility-scale energy storage. These systems are crucial for grid stability and renewable energy integration, and they represent a growing market for Tesla.

💡Competitive Market

A 'Competitive Market' is one where there are many sellers offering similar products or services, leading to intense rivalry and price competition. The video discusses the hypercompetitive nature of the electric vehicle (EV) market in China, which is a concern for Tesla's growth prospects.

💡Autonomy

In the context of the video, 'Autonomy' refers to Tesla's development of self-driving technology, known as Full Self-Driving (FSD). This technology is a significant part of Tesla's future plans and is expected to revolutionize the automotive industry.

💡Compensation Package

A 'Compensation Package' is the total of all forms of pay and benefits provided to an employee, often including salary, bonuses, stock options, and other incentives. In the video, the discussion revolves around Elon Musk's compensation package and the legal challenges surrounding it, which have implications for Tesla's governance and shareholder value.

Highlights

Nancy, CEO of Tangler Investments, is bullish on Tesla and plans to continue buying on weakness.

Nancy is confident that Tesla's energy division will be worth $120 billion and eventually surpass the car business.

Nancy started buying Tesla during the last extraction when the stock was worth $105.

Elon Musk's distractions, such as the OpenAI lawsuit, are not expected to significantly impact Tesla's operations.

Tesla's price incentives in China are seen as more important than distractions, aiming to stabilize pricing and increase demand.

Nancy's visit to Tesla's mega pack Factory revealed promising developments in the company's energy division.

Tesla's battery storage business is growing rapidly and is expected to become more profitable than the car business.

Tesla's energy division has a cost advantage of about 30% due to vertical integration and cost reductions.

Analysts are interested in Tesla's energy division, which is often overlooked by the auto analyst community.

Tesla's energy story is not getting enough attention from investors, according to Nancy.

Tesla's competition in China is acknowledged, but there is a distinction in market overlap and pricing points.

EV demand is still growing, despite a slowdown in rapid growth, and Tesla is well-positioned for the future.

Tesla needs to improve its communication strategy to focus on fundamentals and long-term growth.

Elon Musk's compensation package is a point of contention, with a legal ruling pending.

The legal team that won the lawsuit against Elon's compensation package is asking for $5.95 billion, which is considered excessive.

Tesla's manufacturing process is being revolutionized, with a focus on efficiency and quality.

Tesla's upcoming compact product is expected to be compelling at its price point, with quality levels similar to the Model 3 and Model Y.

Tesla's advancements in autonomy and the introduction of the bot are part of the company's exciting future developments.