RUMOR: GPT-4.5 Coming This Week?

The AI Breakdown
11 Dec 202307:40

TLDRRumors suggest the potential release of GPT 4.5 this week, following insights from Twitter accounts with a history of accurate leaks. The AI community is abuzz with speculation, especially after a cryptic image and hints about 'big' and 'small' OpenAI announcements. Meanwhile, the EU has reached a new agreement on the EU AI Act, which will require foundation model providers to disclose training data details, although it won't take effect until 2025. Public opinion调查显示美国人对AI的安全性关注超过创新，而一个实验显示 GPT 4 Vision 能够胜任识别任务，比之前的Google演示更准确。

Takeaways

  • 📢 Rumors suggest the possible release of GPT 4.5 this week, following speculations from Twitter accounts with a history of accurate leaks.
  • 🗣️ Twitter accounts like 'Jimmy' and 'Flowers from the Future' have built reputations for providing insider information about OpenAI's developments.
  • 🔮 The 'AI Safety Memes' account and 'Jimmy Apples' have hinted at both a 'big thing' and a 'small thing' from OpenAI, with the latter possibly being a delay in the GPT store until 2024.
  • 💬 Discussions on AI safety and the potential release of GPT 4.5 have sparked a range of reactions, from excitement to skepticism, within the AI community.
  • 📈 The EU has reached an agreement on the EU AI Act, which, despite controversies, is moving forward with the stipulation that foundation model providers must submit details of their training data.
  • 🚫 The EU AI Act is not set to come into effect until 2025, leaving room for other countries, like the US, to implement less restrictive rules that could give them a competitive edge.
  • 🌍 The EU's comprehensive AI regulation is seen by some as a positive step, while others argue it reinforces the perception of the EU as a less dynamic technology hub.
  • 📊 A new poll indicates that Americans have significant concerns about AGI (Artificial General Intelligence), with a preference for prioritizing AI safety over innovation.
  • 🤖 The public's stance on AI regulation may be influenced by media coverage on the potential risks of AI, rather than a clear understanding of the technology.
  • 🧐 The AI community is closely watching the developments at OpenAI and the implications of the EU AI Act on the future of AI technology and innovation.
  • 🔍 A demonstration using GPT-4 Vision showed improved performance in identifying objects and gestures compared to a previous Google demo that was later found to be fabricated.

Q & A

  • What is the speculation about GPT 4.5 release?

    -There are rumors suggesting that GPT 4.5 could be released as early as the week of the transcript's discussion, based on information from Twitter accounts with a history of accurate leaks.

  • Which Twitter accounts are known for having insider information on OpenAI?

    -The Twitter accounts known for having insider information on OpenAI are the 'Jimmy' account and 'Flowers from the Future'.

  • What was the significance of the tweet on October 26th from Flowers from the Future?

    -The tweet on October 26th from Flowers from the Future predicted a big announcement from OpenAI in December, which helped establish the account's credibility.

  • What did the AI Safety Memes account suggest about the potential GPT 4.5 release?

    -The AI Safety Memes account suggested that GPT 4.5 could be a significant release and that there might be both a big and a small OpenAI announcement, with the small one possibly being the delayed GPT store.

  • What is the current status of the EU AI Act?

    -The EU AI Act has reached an agreement but still needs to go through a few final steps for approval. It includes rules for foundation model makers and does not come into effect until 2025.

  • What is the main concern regarding the EU AI Act's rules for foundation models?

    -The main concern is that foundation model providers, like OpenAI, will need to submit detailed summaries of their training data, but the rules do not exempt them entirely.

  • How do some Twitter users react to the EU's AI regulation?

    -Some Twitter users criticize the EU's AI regulation as being behind the times and potentially hindering technological and economic growth, while others see it as a comprehensive approach to AI governance.

  • What does a new poll suggest about American public opinion on AI?

    -The poll suggests that Americans are generally more concerned about AI safety than innovation, with a preference for slowing down the development of AGI and prioritizing safety measures.

  • How does the AI Safety Memes account relate the public's fear of AI to media coverage?

    -The AI Safety Memes account suggests that the fear-based media coverage around the potential risks of AI may have influenced the public's opinions, as reflected in the poll results.

  • What was the outcome of the experiment with GPT 4 Vision and the hand motions task?

    -GPT 4 Vision was able to perform slightly better on the hand motions task than the previously faked Google demo, demonstrating its capability in understanding and responding to the task.

  • What is the significance of the delay in the EU AI Act's implementation?

    -The delay until 2025 allows time for other countries, like the US, to implement less restrictive rules, potentially giving them a competitive advantage in the AI industry.

Outlines

00:00

💬 Rumors and Speculations on GPT 4.5 Release

The video begins with a focus on the rumors surrounding the potential release of GPT 4.5. It discusses the speculations on Twitter, particularly from accounts like 'Jimmy' and 'Flowers from the Future,' which have previously provided accurate information about OpenAI's plans. The video highlights a tweet from 'Flowers from the Future' suggesting a small delay due to company issues at OpenAI, but a big announcement is still expected. The community's reaction to these hints is also covered, including a cryptic image posted by the same account and discussions on AI safety and potential new features of GPT 4.5. The segment ends with a note on the importance of these speculations in the context of recent events at OpenAI.

05:00

📜 EU AI Act Agreement and Public Sentiment on AI

The second paragraph shifts focus to the EU's AI Act, detailing the agreement reached on the legislation and its implications. It mentions the requirement for foundation model providers to submit summaries of their training data, but also notes the delay until 2025 before the law takes effect. The video discusses concerns about the EU's competitive position in the global AI landscape and reactions from various stakeholders, including US lawmakers and tech commentators. It contrasts the EU's self-praise with criticism that its regulatory approach may hinder technological growth. The segment also touches on public opinion, citing a poll that suggests a significant portion of Americans are concerned about AI safety and the race for AGI development, indicating a potential shift in priorities from innovation to safety.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡GPT 4.5

GPT 4.5 refers to a speculated upgrade or iteration of the Generative Pre-trained Transformer, a language prediction model developed by OpenAI. The term is significant in the context of the video as it is the subject of rumors and speculation about an imminent release, indicating a potential advancement in AI technology. The video discusses the anticipation and the various leaks suggesting the possible launch of GPT 4.5, highlighting the interest and excitement within the AI community.

💡OpenAI

OpenAI is an artificial intelligence research lab known for developing advanced AI systems, including the GPT series. In the video, OpenAI is central to the discussion as it is speculated to be on the verge of releasing GPT 4.5. The organization's reputation and previous releases have made it a focal point for AI news and developments.

💡Twitter

Twitter is a social media platform where users post and interact with messages, known as 'tweets.' In the context of the video, Twitter is the medium through which rumors and speculations about GPT 4.5 are being shared and discussed. Certain accounts on Twitter are highlighted as having a track record of accurate leaks related to OpenAI's activities.

💡AI safety

AI safety refers to the precautions and measures taken to ensure that artificial intelligence systems are developed and used in a way that minimizes harm to humans and the environment. In the video, AI safety is a significant concern, as the development and release of advanced AI models like GPT 4.5 raise questions about their potential impact and the need for safety measures.

💡EU AI Act

The EU AI Act is a legislative proposal by the European Union aimed at regulating artificial intelligence within its member states. The Act sets out rules to ensure AI systems are safe, transparent, and respect fundamental rights. In the video, the EU AI Act is discussed as it has recently reached an agreement, despite controversies and disagreements, and is a step closer to becoming law, although it won't come into effect until 2025.

💡Gemini announcement

The Gemini announcement refers to a recent event where OpenAI revealed plans for future AI developments, which has sparked further speculation about the potential release of GPT 4.5. In the context of the video, the Gemini announcement is significant as it adds to the anticipation and rumors about advancements in AI technology.

💡AI policy

AI policy refers to the set of rules, guidelines, and regulations that govern the development, deployment, and use of artificial intelligence technologies. In the video, AI policy is a central theme as it discusses the EU AI Act and the implications of such policies on the development and innovation of AI systems.

💡Regulation

Regulation refers to the rules and restrictions imposed by a regulatory authority to control the behavior of companies or industries. In the context of the video, regulation is discussed in relation to the EU AI Act and its potential impact on the AI industry. The video explores the balance between fostering innovation and ensuring safety through regulatory measures.

💡Public opinion

Public opinion refers to the collective views and attitudes of the general population on a particular issue. In the video, public opinion is highlighted through a poll that shows a significant portion of Americans have concerns about AI safety and are more focused on safety measures than innovation. This reflects a broader societal perspective on the development of AI.

💡Multimodal AI

Multimodal AI refers to artificial intelligence systems that can process and understand multiple types of data inputs, such as text, images, and audio. In the context of the video, multimodal AI is mentioned as a potential new development from Anthropic, another AI research organization, indicating the diversification and expansion of AI capabilities beyond just text-based interactions.

💡AI entrepreneurship

AI entrepreneurship involves the creation and management of businesses that focus on developing or utilizing artificial intelligence technologies. In the video, AI entrepreneurship is represented by individuals like Bindu Reddy, who tweet about the potential release of GPT 4.5, reflecting the interest and involvement of entrepreneurs in the AI space.

Highlights

Rumors suggest the release of GPT 4.5 as early as this week.

Twitter accounts with alleged insider information on OpenAI's plans are being closely followed.

Accounts like 'Jimmy' and 'Flowers from the Future' have built a reputation for accurate leaks.

A tweet from 'Flowers from the Future' predicted an OpenAI announcement in December, which turned out to be true.

There is speculation about a 'big thing' and a 'small thing' coming from OpenAI.

The 'small thing' might be the delayed GPT store, now expected in 2024.

A cryptic image posted by an account suggests the potential release of GPT 4.5.

AI entrepreneur Bindu Ready tweeted about the excitement surrounding GPT 4.5.

The EU has reached an agreement over the EU AI Act, which still needs final approval.

The AI Act includes rules for foundation model makers like OpenAI.

The EU AI Act does not come into effect until 2025, leaving room for other regions to implement less restrictive rules.

US Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer expressed concern over EU-style laws disadvantaging American firms.

Public opinion polls show a significant portion of Americans are against AGI and prioritize AI safety over innovation.

The AI Policy Institute's role is to slow down the development of AI, which may influence public opinion polls.

A new poll indicates a strong preference for AI safety measures and a halt to the AGI race.

The perception of the EU as a backwater for technology is reinforced by its focus on regulation.

GPT 4 Vision was tested on a task similar to a previously faked Google demo, showing improved performance.

The AI Breakdown Brief provides a concise overview of the latest AI headlines and speculations.